TraderGain · Methodology

TMC Theory — Theory of Confirmed Movement

Methodology by Marcelo Vieira: organize market evidence before trading. TMC coloring on the live chart follows this logic.

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Marcelo Vieira · TraderGain

Movement + Evidence + Confirmation − Invalidation

TMC does not try to predict the future. It turns visual reading into a process: the market moves, leaves evidence, confirms or invalidates the hypothesis — only then does execution enter the scene.

TMC = Theory of Confirmed Movement

Educational content. Not a profit promise and does not replace risk management, costs (spread/slippage) and testing on real data.

Core idea

The main question is not “will it go up or down?”, but “is there enough evidence to trade?”

Movement without confirmation is only suspicion.
Confirmation without controlled risk is recklessness.
Statistics without a journal is opinion.

The theory comes from observing candles, legs, rejections and exhaustion — avoiding treating arrows, colors or alerts as absolute truth.

Full book content (14 modules)

01 · MindsetProcess before guessing
02 · Candle anatomyBody, wicks, range, close
03 · HierarchyContext → event → confirmation
04 · LegsCorrections vs structural change
05 · LiquiditySweep and rejection
06 · ExhaustionStretch, not probability
07 · ATRNormalize volatility
08 · TMC Score0–100 score by evidence
09 · ConfirmationWhen it becomes signal or invalidates
10 · OperationsStep-by-step playbook
11 · Simulations6 guided scenarios
12 · StatisticsWin rate, expectancy, drawdown
13 · Indicator & botAlert vs execution
14 · Study plan7 days + checklist + glossary

This page shows the summary. The full PDF includes calculations, candle drawings, simulations and validation sheets.

See how to get the PDF →

Correct reading order

1 · ContextWhere is price? Which leg dominates?
2 · EventRejection, sweep, exhaustion or displacement?
3 · ConfirmationDid the market accept the hypothesis?
4 · RiskDo stop, target and size make sense?
5 · ExecutionOnly when everything above is coherent.

A “nice” candle out of context is not enough. 80% exhaustion does not mean 80% reversal chance — it warns of leg stretch.

TMC Score (summary)

Score = Body×0.35 + Displacement×0.35 + Close×0.30

Combines body dominance, displacement relevance (via ATR) and close quality. Values capped between 0 and 100 to compare events.

ATR_Distance = Movement distance ÷ ATR

ATR normalizes volatility: 100 points in a calm asset ≠ 100 points in a volatile one.

Candle anatomy

Range = High − Low · Body = |Close − Open|

Large body → displacement intent.
Long wick → rejection or price dispute.
Close near high → buyer dominance in that candle.
Close near low → seller dominance.

Legs and persistent color

An up leg can have red candles in the middle; a down leg can have green ones. TMC paints the dominant movement, not the mood of a single candle.

Strength = 0.40×Direction + 0.30×ATR_Distance + 0.30×Close

Color only changes when structure confirms loss of dominant movement — not on the first isolated rejection.

GREEN · up leg / buy RED · down leg / sell Transition · awaiting confirmation

TMC-R and TMC-C setups

TMC-R (reversal): confirmed top/bottom transition — structural leg change.
TMC-C (continuation): correction within the leg that fails and resumes dominant direction.

Operational playbook

Step	Question	Action
1	What is the dominant leg?	Up, down or neutral
2	Was there a TMC event?	Classify — still no trade
3	Was there confirmation?	Allow or block entry
4	Where is the stop?	Behind the defense
5	Where is the target?	Coherent with risk
6	Did you log it?	Always — otherwise it becomes opinion

When NOT to trade

Conflict between leg and event.
Weak score or exhaustion without confirmation.
High spread, major news or disproportionate stop.

Confirmation and invalidation

Buy = Bottom rejection + close above trigger + Score ≥ minimum

Invalidation = price breaks defense ± ATR × buffer

TMC coloring on TraderGain chart

On the live chart, enable TMC Coloring in the legend below the candlestick:

GREEN = BUY (up leg) RED = SELL (down leg)

Color <strong>persistes</strong> in transition until opposite confirmation (as in the official EA).
The TMC panel shows regime, setup (TMC-R / TMC-C) and reading narrative.
Official vote signal uses <strong>closed</strong> candle — aligned with indicator/bot.

Open chart with TMC

Full PDF book

TMC Theory — Theory of Confirmed Movement
Marcelo Vieira · course with calculations, candles, simulations, operation protocol, checklist and glossary.

R$ 99.00

PIX payment

PIX key (CPF) 043.137.859-22

Amount R$ 99.00

Send PIX of R$ 99.00 to CPF 043.137.859-22.
Send the receipt to mvip23@me.com with your email to receive the file.
After payment confirmation, we send the full PDF with all modules, formulas and simulations.

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Manual delivery after payment confirmation. PDF is educational material; past results do not guarantee future results. Questions: mvip23@me.com